Inverted Yield Curve Hits Record

Christian DeHaemer

Written By Christian DeHaemer

Posted July 11, 2024

The US Treasury yield curve has been inverted for 723 days, that’s a record for the bond market.

Yield Curve

I don’t know why people would pay more for a longer loan than a shorter one, but they do.  The difference between 10-year and 2-year Treasuries turned negative on July 6, 2022, and has been that way ever since.

The previous record was made in the late 1970s and lasted for 624 days starting in August 1978.

In the past, when the yield curve was inverted and then un-inverted a recession followed.  And historically the longer the inversion the worse the recession.

All the best,

Christian DeHaerm

Outsider Club

 

https://money.usnews.com/investing/stock-market-news/slideshows/tips-for-investors-when-the-yield-curve-inverts

 

https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/us-treasury-key-yield-curve-inversion-becomes-longest-record-2024-03-21/

 

https://www.outsiderclub.com/the-housing-market-is-broken/